I found myself in a fascinating conversation with the COO of one of our clients last week. We were talking about something I’ve been circling around for months, but this discussion finally snapped the pieces into place.
It’s what I’m starting to call the AI and Expertise Paradox.
We all know the demographic story by now. Baby boomers are retiring in large numbers and there aren’t enough Gen Xers to replace them.
In AEC, that often means we’re losing some of the deepest technical knowledge in our organizations—codes, construction standards, quality practices, the kind of judgment that only comes from decades of watching real projects go from concept to completion.
Technical experts possess the kind of deep smarts that can look at a drawing and feel that something isn’t quite right.
And they are retiring.
At the same time, we’re seeing a wave of AI-powered tools arrive that promise to help fill the gap. Automated code checks. QA/QC scanners. Plan reviewers that highlight potential issues a junior architect or engineer would never recognize. Assistants that allow someone to work across jurisdictions with different codes and standards and at least have a baseline level of support.
In some ways, it feels like knowledge augmentation—almost like the moment in The Matrix when the character Tank uploads the knowledge to fly a helicopter into Trinity’s brain.
Similarly, there are numerous emerging AI tools in our industry which, if they deliver on their vision, will enable a junior team member to run a basic code review, an expert who is stretched thin across multiple projects to offload routine checks, or an architect or engineer working on a project in a different region to get a helpful second set of eyes on local code compliance.
On the surface, this looks like the perfect solution: AI tools that allow those with less expertise or who are super busy to do more.
But here’s where the paradox emerges.
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